61 Comments
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Ahenobarbus's avatar

Thanks Nate!

"And as most of our governments are middle manager technocrats who look to the markets for divine guidance, the lack of market reaction is feeding into the lack of political reaction."

The market is like a casino: the house always wins. The "house" in this case is uniformly Zionist. Only a small percentage of people own most of the stocks. Finance is dominated by an even smaller group. This small group controls the markers in the US and it is nearly all Zionist. These Israeli firsters can and do act collectively when something sacred to them all is at stake: Israel and it's insane push for lebensraum. They have been using every trick in the book over the last month to prevent any natural market reaction to the closed strait. They collectively struggle to ensure Trump can continue his assault on the innocent people of Iran as long as possible. Yes they are all greedy capitalist pigs, but they are also members of a cult. Eventually, as you said, gravity will have to kick in and it will be every Capitalist pig for himself, once again. Once that happens, we can celebrate Iran's victory for humanity.

In terms of the western wage slaves that will wrongly suffer due to the crimes of their Zio billionaire overlords, I can only speak for myself. Im happy to endure it so long as it reduces the ability of the Zio Imperialist ruling class of the West to continue killing innocent wage slaves in Iran, Palestine and across the ME.

Death to Zio Imperialism!

Nate Bear's avatar

I am very happy to endure it as well and if I thought Iran's bargaining position was improved by continuing to strike, I'd be disappointed they stopped. But I think they hit something close to the peak of their position. And don't forget they were taking serious losses too.

Entropy Wins's avatar

I'm Australian (and ashamed at the government's rapid support of USIsrael). I'm happy to endure the closure. Australia deserves what it gets.

Kate Schroeder's avatar

America can’t and won’t accept Iran is in the box seat. Which won’t change until it hurts the Epstein Class hip pockets . I for one will deal with it till Iran wins .

Nate Bear's avatar

If Iran gets the terms of the 10 point plan, it has won

the suck of sorrow's avatar

My semi-informed view says the the US pressed for the ceasefire because the non nuclear weapon stocks are low, low, low. One more round of carpet bombing across the breadth of Iran was potentially the last hurrah. American forces have never really possessed air defense. Where could they safely base a boots on the ground force? The Blasphemer in Chief has never had to deal with logistics. So logistics dealt with him. It's too bad the planet's population is the proxy for handling the logistic's backlash on his behalf.

The unseen gem in this for the wing-nut media viewers is the coming shortages of medications, both prescribed and over the counter. Most Americans are stuffed with so many meds that their bodies are literally toxic waste dumps. Withdrawal is going to be painful.

For us lucky duckies residing in neoliberal hellholes there is none of this we're all in this together. Nope. We losers in the ongoing class war (no truce here) take the pain, our billionaires still eek out their gains.

May the day come where these billionaire cretins have a choice between two G's: Guantanamo or the guillotine.

Gabrielle Duchesne's avatar

They'll likely hide away in their bunkers first. Which, you know, I have absolutely nothing against all things considered. Thanks for sharing your perspective. I agree the meds shortage will be brutal for some. So will the cutting down food. Things will be rough for a while, and unfortunately I think that's exactly what we need.

the suck of sorrow's avatar

"... I think that's exactly what we need" is quite true.

Personally I steer clear of stating that because my part of the great we is of limited duration. I'm old.

I expect that the many younger will need to recalibrate what constitutes a good life. I already have for my remaining time with a pulse, respiration and cognition.

Feral Finster's avatar

"...a re-escalation against Iran will be bad for everyone, including the Americans. Which is why I don’t think they will return to war.".

Jeffrey Epstein has entered the chat. If burning down the globe is what it will take for Netanyahu to delay his corruption trial, then that's what he'll do

Nate Bear's avatar

We shall see. I know I'm against the grain on this

Feral Finster's avatar

The timing of Melania's little excursion "I had nothing to do with Epstein, just in case anyone asks!" is most suspicious.

Nate Bear's avatar

It was. Wondering if that's more to do with Trump's declining physical health and her wanting to get out ahead of it when he dies and it all comes out

Feral Finster's avatar

I don't think Trump is going to tip over at any moment now, and besides, La Melania could always play stupid after the old sociopath croaks.

Chris Eyre's avatar

How would we tell if its an act?

Feral Finster's avatar

Good point. Still, she or someone around her is doing this press conference for a reason.

Hannah Vincent's avatar

Melania's timing is probably linked more to the exposure Amanda Ungaro is finally getting in the press. El Pais published an article over the weekend about her deportation last year. She and her ex (Paolo Zampolli) were good friends with Donald and Melania and he is an ambassador for the current admin.

MIchael Tscheu's avatar

An evil man will burn his own nation to the ground to rule over the ashes.

~ Sun Tzu

Feral Finster's avatar

We are ruled over by sociopaths.

Tom High's avatar

Yeah. The only thing left to discuss are the terms of the U.S./Israel divorce. No fault, or clothes burning in the street?

We’ll see.

Amalek's avatar

I believe u you got this.

Only unknown is irrational behavior of losing Zio-Nazi Epstein class cult members?

They're realizing Israels existence is matter of time, and I'm not sure they know how to cope with that?

Nate Bear's avatar

100%. They could definitely decide to rage bomb us into a global depression because they're losing and I don't know if I should really have any confidence they won't. I'm prepared to be wrong

kas's avatar

Yeah but what if a global depression is just fine with them? What then? All the better for buying stuff up on the cheap and benefitting from the chaos.

Nate Bear's avatar

It's definitely possible

Stacey's avatar

I actually think this is what the plan is, depression to help with the depopulation.

Philip Mollica's avatar

We've already seen that they are gaming the markets, such as the oil price bet coming from the White House a short time before the ceasefire was announced.

People like Lutnick, Bessent, Kushner and Trump wouldn't miss an opportunity.

I think this is a large part of plan.

Mike Parr's avatar

"Stopping Israeli mass murder in Lebanon is the hardest point to negotiate". This could be stopped in 24hrs.

The EU expels ALL Israeli embassies and staff. Expels ALL Israeli citizens. Give people with Israeli passports one week to hand them in to governments (failure = loss of citizenship and expluysion). ALL Israeli companies (& banks) in the EU closed. A criminal offense to visit Israel. This would stop Israel in its tracks. The jews would finally realise that genocide, causing wars, invading other countries is no longer acceptable. The vast majority of EU citizens would support this approach, they don't approve of bullies and genocidists. The Isralie state may also want to reform its eduction system for jews - as is, it teaches them to hate - hence the current situation. & of course, all sporting links and cultural links cut. For 70 years Israel has been a cancer in the middle east. Time it was isolated. Totally. & notice no of the above involves any violence what so ever.

Natalia's avatar

It's all theatre w/the US. They'll say peace but will continue arming Ukraine & Israel & resort to terrorists attacks like they doing to the Russians & Lebanon & Gaza. They actually don't care about "the little people". Why do you think depopulation is on their agenda? And they have the loons on hired contract just to do it. The US was bound to get a rebound for all the evil we've done since WWII. It's due. But I attribute the little hats for brainwashing us into sheeple. I'll choose my own way out if it gets that bad. But till the end I will champion the Resistance in Iran, Palestine, and Lebabon.

Andrea Maria Romandini's avatar

The US deserves what it gets, along with Israel and other supporters of them. I’m readying for collapse, because it’s high time for a come-uppance for the homicidal maniacs of the world. I wish Iran would just take out all of Israel’s weapons since the US blew its load on Iran - maybe the Palestinian and Lebanese will somehow be able to gain control. Hope is all I have and I’m clinging to it!

Finley Baker's avatar

“I only ever reach the conclusion that a resumption would be so bad for the world, and so unlikely to achieve any outcome favourable to the US, that almost everyone is motivated to avoid it happening.”

Trump doesn’t seem to be interested in outcomes favorable to the US. If he did, we wouldn’t be in this mess in the first place.

Nathaniel Morris's avatar

Not sure what Trump now deciding to "blockade" the bloody straight himself means for your analysis, but I'm damn sure that as well as being totally stupid it's also going to further fuck the global economy

Sharon Bouchard's avatar

What worries me is Ft Bragg, home of the 82nd Airborne, has canceled an annual event, All American Week, always held in May. This is not normal. That event doesn't even get canceled for major deployments. These people in charge are fool enough to try to take Iranian territory. Some paratroopers have been deployed but no one else yet. Watch what happens in Fayetteville NC I guess. The world really can't afford to keep this waterway closed much longer.

Azria Raventhorn's avatar

I wish you were right but the negotiatioms just failed and now we are also blockading the straight

AtomsDNA's avatar

'Late last month, the Trump administration announced that beginning in December 2026 every American male between the ages of 18 and 26 will be automatically registered for the military draft… This is being implemented as the United States wages war against Iran, prepares for a ground invasion of the Iranian coastline and escalates its confrontation with both Russia and China. Within the framework of a so-called “ceasefire,” the Trump administration is continuing to send a massive armada of military forces to the Middle East.

The active-duty US military has roughly 1.3 million personnel, with forces committed globally. At its peak, the Iraq war in 2003 involved 170,000 troops, but it strained the entire military through repeated deployments. A sustained ground campaign in Iran—a country four times larger with three times the population—would likely require 300,000–500,000 troops by most estimates, and potentially far more for a prolonged occupation.

The all-volunteer force simply doesn’t have that capacity without either a massive expansion of recruitment (which is already falling short of targets) or conscription. The infrastructure is being quietly modernized at a moment when the gap between military commitments and available manpower is huge.’ https://www.wsws.org/en/articles/2026/04/11/wqun-a11.html

Philip Mollica's avatar

I forgot that was in the BBB.

THE END OF THE WORLD SHOW's avatar

One wonders what it feels.like for the Iranians to have Bluto's balls in their hands.

Suman Suhag's avatar

The real global crisis right now isn’t politics.

It’s oil.

The Iran–US conflict has turned the Strait of Hormuz into the world’s most dangerous choke point.

And that matters because:

~20% of global oil flows through it.

Now?

Supply is disrupted.

Tankers are avoiding the route.

Prices are surging past $100.

And the risk isn’t just higher energy costs

It’s global instability.

Countries are quietly preparing:

Military coordination

Diplomatic pressure

Energy contingency plans

Because everyone knows

If this escalates, it doesn’t stay regional.

Here’s the uncomfortable truth:

This isn’t just a conflict.

It’s leverage.

Control the Strait → control oil

Control oil → influence the global economy

And right now

The world’s most important economic artery is under pressure.

Not broken.

But fragile.

And markets don’t fear high prices.

They fear what happens if the flow stops.